Programme

Click here to download the programme as a PDF

Click on the conference sessions to see the participants collated notes from the Affording our Future conference.

Day 1: Sunday 09 December 2012

Time Event Speakers
and Guests		 Location
8.00pm LongTermNZ registration, welcome and introduction to workshop group members and the Institute interns designated to your group.

Exercise 1: Purpose

 Niki Lomax (McGuinness Institute)
Maria English (Intern)
Penny Garty (Intern)
Josie McGuinness (Intern)		 Gourmet Stay Hotel, 25 Frederick Street, Te Aro

Day 2: Monday 10 December 2012

Time Event Speakers
and Guests		 Location
8.00 – 8.30am LongTermNZ participant meeting

Exercise 2: Key Messages

 Wendy McGuinness (McGuinness Institute) Ground Floor Foyer, Rutherford House, 23 Lambton Quay 
8.30 – 9.00am Affording our Future Conference registration Rutherford House, 23 Lambton Quay 
9.00 – 9.30am Welcome and introductions Professor Bob Buckle
(Pro Vice-Chancellor and Dean of Commerce in the Victoria Business School),

Gabriel Makhlouf
(Chief Executive and Secretary to the Treasury)

 Rutherford House, 23 Lambton Quay 
9.30 – 11am Conference session 1: FISCAL FRAMEWORKS AND PROJECTIONS

Chair: Professor Norman Gemmell

 Professor Bob Buckle
What role does the concept of sustainability play in NZ’s current fiscal framework?

Geoff Bascand
Statistics New Zealand’s demographic projections

Dr Girol Karacaoglu
How could fiscal sustainability be challenged by current projections for the long-term fiscal outlook? How should we assess various possible policy responses to our long-term fiscal challenges?

 Rutherford House, 23 Lambton Quay 
11.00 – 11.30am Morning tea
11.30 – 1.00pm Conference session 2: THE CONTEXT FOR OUR CHOICES

Chair: Professor Norman Gemmell

 Professor Chris Cunningham
The Māori and Pasifika perspective

Omar Aziz
The inter- and intra-generational distribution effects of different scenarios

Professor Ross Guest
How might population ageing affect labour productivity?

 Rutherford House, 23 Lambton Quay 
1.00 – 2.00pm Lunch (supplied by conference organisers)
2.00 – 3.00pm Conference session 3: POPULATION AGEING AND THE ROLE OF THE STATE

Chair:Dr Girol Karacaoglu

Conference session 4: TAX

Chair: Dr Girol Karacaoglu

 Professor Michael Belgrave
The history of social policy in New Zealand

Dr Patrick Nolan
How do an ageing population and the associated fiscal challenges affect the role of the State, both generally and in specific policy areas?

Professor Norman Gemmell and Professor John Creedy
Can increasing taxes help us close the fiscal gap?By how much? What trade-offs do different options involve?

 Rutherford House, 23 Lambton Quay 
3.30 – 4.00pm Afternoon tea
4.00 – 5.30pm Conference session 5: RETIREMENT INCOME POLICY

Chair: Professor Bob Buckle

 Diana Crossan, Dr Susan St John, Andrew Coleman
What reform options exist in the area of retirement income policy? Is raising the superannuation age really a ‘silver bullet’ as many believe? What role should retirement income play in our social welfare system?		 Rutherford House, 23 Lambton Quay 
END OF DAY ONE AFFORDING OUR FUTURE CONFERENCE
5.30 – 6.00pm Break – this will give you 30 minutes to
walk along the waterfront to the McGuinness Institute if weather permits.
6.00 – 7.30pm Workshop
session: ‘Pizza Session’ at the McGuinness Institute

Pizza arrives at 6:30pm

 Dr Patrick Nolan, Reform

Paul Goldsmith, National List MP

Becky Prebble and Neil Cribben, Treasury

 McGuinness Institute, Level 2, 5 Cable Street
7.30pm Workshop session: A discussion with the designers

Exercise 3: Values and Imagery

 Gillian McCarthy (lead), Angus McBryde and Kieran Stowers McGuinness Institute, Level 2, 5 Cable Street
9.00pm Finished for the day – participants return to
accommodation.

Day 3: Tuesday 11 December 2012

Time Event Speakers
and Guests		 Location
8:00 – 8:30am LongTermNZ participant meeting Wendy McGuinness (McGuinness Institute) Rutherford House, 23 Lambton Quay 
8.30 – 10.00am Conference session 6: HEALTH POLICY

Chair: Professor Bob Buckle

Conference session 7: THE PROCESS FOR CHANGE

Chair: Professor Bob Buckle

 Professor Nick Mays
With health expenditure projected to double as a proportion of GDP by 2060 if left unchecked, what is driving this growth and what options are available to address it?

Colin James
What are some of the challenges for achieving enduring policy change in democratic societies such as our own?

 Rutherford House, 23 Lambton Quay 
10.00 – 10.30am Morning tea
10.30 – 12.00pm Conference session 8: POLITICAL ECONOMY PERSPECTIVES

Chair: Professor Norman Gemmell

 Sir Michael Cullen, Rt. Hon Simon Upton
How would two former senior government ministers address New Zealand’s fiscal challenges?		 Rutherford House, 23 Lambton Quay 
12.00 – 12.30pm Conference session 9: A VIEW FROM THE TREASURY Dr Girol Karacaoglu Rutherford House, 23 Lambton Quay 
12.30 – 1.00pm Conference session 10: SUMMING UP Professor Bob Buckle Rutherford House, 23 Lambton Quay 

END OF DAY TWO AFFORDING OUR FUTURE CONFERENCE
1.00 – 4.00pm Free time for participants (participants purchase their own lunch in town)
4:00 – 4:30pm Case Study: EmpowerNZ Wendy McGuinness Treasury, Level 5, 1 The Terrace
4.30 – 5.30pm Workshop session:
How do you communicate tough and complex issues		 Chris Laidlaw, broadcaster Treasury, Level 5, 1 The Terrace
5:30 – 6:30pm Workshop session:
Designers outline options and participants vote on look and feel		 Gillian McCarthy (lead), Angus McBryde and Kieran Stowers Treasury, Level 5, 1 The Terrace
7.00 – 8.30pm Dinner at Gourmet Stay: All participants are most welcome but this is optional. Participants walk to Gourmet Stay if
weather permits.		 Gourmet Stay, 25 Frederick Street, Te Aro

Day 4: Wednesday 12 December 2012

Time Event Speakers
and Guests		 Location
8.00 – 9.30am Workshop session: Group presentations from the dinner session. Treasury, Level 5, 1 The Terrace
9.30 – 10.30am Workshop session: Treasury, Level 5, 1 The Terrace
10.30 – 11.00am Morning tea
11.00 – 1.00pm Workshop session: Treasury, Level 5, 1 The Terrace
1.00 – 1.30pm Lunch
1.30 – 2.30pm Workshop session: Treasury, Level 5, 1 The Terrace
2.30 – 3.30pm Workshop session:
What as a society do we see as the role of government in 40 years?		 Andrew Gawith, economist Treasury, Level 5, 1 The Terrace
3.30 – 4.00pm Afternoon tea
4.00 – 6.30pm Workshop session: Treasury, Level 5, 1 The Terrace
6.30 – 8.30pm Workshop session:
Workshop dinner		 Becky Prebble and Neil Cribbens, Treasury Nicolini’s Italian Restaurant, 26 Courtenay
Place
8.30pm onwards Workshop session:
Flow over session on final document		 McGuinness Institute, Level 2, 5 Cable Street

Day 5: Thursday 13 December 2012

Time Event Speakers
and Guests		 Location
9.00 – 10.00am Workshop session:
Preparation for session with Hon Bill English

Treasury, Level 5, 1 The Terrace

10.00 – 11.00am Workshop session:
Tough questions about New Zealand’s long-term future

Hon Bill English, Deputy Prime Minister, Minister of Finance

Paul Goldsmith,
National List MP

Treasury, Level 5, 1 The Terrace

11.00 – 11.30am Morning tea
11.30 – 12.00pm Participants walk along the waterfront to the Wharewaka if weather permits.
12.00 – 1.00pm Presentation of Draft Youth Statement on New Zealand’s Long-Term Fiscal Position 2012 Te Wharewaka o Poneke, 15 Jervois Quay
1.00 – 2.00pm Lunch Te Wharewaka o Poneke, 15 Jervois Quay

Please note: the following two sessions were late additions to the programme.
5.00 – 6.30pm Christmas drinks with Dr John Volpe Dr John Volpe, Seafood Ecology Research Group (SERG), British Columbia, Canada Te Wharewaka o Poneke, 15 Jervois Quay

Day 6: Friday 14 December 2012

Time Event Speakers
and Guests		 Location
10.00 – 11.30am Obstacles and opportunities for New Zealand in the Long Term.

Sam Morgan

McGuinness Institute, Level 2, 5 Cable Street
12.00 – 1.00pm Pizza lunch

McGuinness Institute, Level 2, 5 Cable Street

WORKSHOP OFFICIALLY ENDS